???? 據(jù)石油新聞2月23日倫敦報(bào)道，多位業(yè)內(nèi)資深分析師2月23日在倫敦表示，受汽油、柴油和燃料油需求強(qiáng)勁反彈的推動(dòng)，全球石油需求預(yù)計(jì)到今年年底前將恢復(fù)到新冠肺炎疫情爆發(fā)前的大約1億桶/天的水平。

????但分析師們補(bǔ)充說(shuō)，過(guò)去占全球總需求8%左右的航空/煤油的需求今年可能仍然非常低迷，航空燃料需求要到2022年甚至2023年才能達(dá)到疫情爆發(fā)前的水平。

????這是維多集團(tuán)全球研究主管Giovanni Serio在彭博社舉辦的網(wǎng)絡(luò)研討會(huì)上發(fā)表上述講話的。

????Serio表示，到今年年底前，全球石油日需求量可能達(dá)到1億桶的驚人數(shù)字，不過(guò)這在很大程度上要取決于疫苗接種的推廣，預(yù)計(jì)今年夏天疫苗接種的推廣速度將加快。

????Serio表示，支撐這一預(yù)測(cè)的是制造業(yè)活動(dòng)的彈性，今年全球制造業(yè)活動(dòng)將繼續(xù)反彈。

????李峻 編譯自 石油新聞

????原文如下：

????Global oil demand likely to rebound to pre-COVID levels by end-2021: analysts

????Global oil demand is expected to recover to pre-COVID-19 levels of around 100 million b/d by the end of the year driven by a strong rebound for gasoline, diesel and fuel oil, several analysts said Feb 23.

????But jet/kerosene, which used to account for around 8% of total global demand, is likely to remain very sluggish, and the aviation fuel will reach pre-crisis levels only in 2022 or even 2023, they added.

????Speaking at a webinar hosted by Bloomberg, Giovanni Serio, Vitol's Global Head of Research said oil demand could reach the magic number of 100 million b/d by the year-end though this will depend heavily on the vaccination rollout which is expected to gather pace this summer.

????Serio said the guidance behind this was supported by resilient manufacturing activity which will continue to rebound.