據(jù)鉆機(jī)地帶12月22日消息稱，俄羅斯天然氣工業(yè)公司的2022 年預(yù)算對(duì)天然氣價(jià)格采取了典型的審慎態(tài)度，盡管其主要出口市場(chǎng)的能源成本創(chuàng)下歷史新高，而且?guī)缀鯖](méi)有跡象表明歐洲的能源緊縮正在緩解。
這家俄羅斯天然氣生產(chǎn)商周三向投資者做的報(bào)告顯示，它將2022年的預(yù)算建立在每1000立方米296美元的“保守”出口價(jià)格基礎(chǔ)上。
俄羅斯天然氣工業(yè)股份公司歷來(lái)對(duì)其預(yù)算估計(jì)持謹(jǐn)慎態(tài)度，稱這有助于減輕價(jià)格波動(dòng)的影響。在 2021 年的預(yù)算中，該公司對(duì)出口價(jià)格提出了類似的預(yù)留要求，即 250 美元/1000立方米，但沒(méi)有實(shí)現(xiàn)。據(jù)該公司副首席執(zhí)行官familil Sadygov稱，天然氣生產(chǎn)商2021年的平均出口價(jià)格實(shí)際上要高得多，超過(guò)280美元/ 1000立方米。
俄羅斯天然氣工業(yè)股份公司保守的 2022 年預(yù)算出臺(tái)之際，其主要出口市場(chǎng)歐洲在供應(yīng)緊縮的情況下陷入困境，近幾個(gè)月來(lái)，基準(zhǔn)天然氣合同屢屢打破紀(jì)錄。來(lái)自俄羅斯的供應(yīng)受限意味著歐洲大陸不得不依賴其耗盡的天然氣儲(chǔ)存設(shè)施，而整個(gè)歐洲大陸的核中斷意味著需要更多的天然氣來(lái)發(fā)電。明年歐洲天然氣供應(yīng)的前景看起來(lái)也不會(huì)好多少。
根據(jù)彭博新聞社看到的介紹，該公司預(yù)計(jì)明年在所有海外市場(chǎng)的出口價(jià)格為296美元/ 1000立方米，包括歐洲、土耳其、以及其他亞洲國(guó)家。俄羅斯天然氣工業(yè)股份公司2022年的預(yù)算預(yù)計(jì)出口總量為2270億立方米，比2021年預(yù)算的基礎(chǔ)水平高出約2%。
盡管俄羅斯天然氣工業(yè)股份公司對(duì)出口價(jià)格預(yù)測(cè)持謹(jǐn)慎態(tài)度，但由于歐洲天然氣緊縮和隨后的價(jià)格上漲，該公司仍預(yù)計(jì)今年和 2022 年的收益將創(chuàng)下歷史新高。
朱佳妮 摘譯自 鉆機(jī)地帶
原文如下：
Gazprom Sees Gas 2022 Export Price Up Six Percent
Gazprom PJSC’s 2022 budget took a typically prudent view of gas prices, despite record-high energy costs in its main export market and few signals Europe’s energy crunch is abating.
The Russian gas producer is basing its 2022 budget on what it calls a “conservative” export price of $296 per 1,000 cubic meters, according to a company presentation made to investors on Wednesday.
Gazprom has traditionally been cautious in its budget estimates, saying this helps mitigate the impact of volatile prices. In its budget for 2021, the company made a similarly reserved call on export prices, of $250/1,000 cm, that didn’t materialize. The gas producer’s average 2021 export price is actually much higher, at over $280/1,000 cm, according to Deputy Chief Executive Famil Sadygov.
Gazprom’s conservative 2022 budget comes as Europe, its main export market, buckles under a supply crunch that’s pushed benchmark gas contracts to break record after record in recent months. Constrained supplies from Russia mean the continent has to rely on its depleted storage sites, as nuclear outages throughout the continent mean more gas is needed to generate electricity. The outlook for Europe’s gas supply doesn’t look much better next year either.
The company sees an export price of $296/1,000 cm for all its foreign markets next year, including Europe, Turkey and other countries in Asia, according to the presentation seen by Bloomberg News. Gazprom’s 2022 budget envisions total exports of 227 billion cm, about 2% above the level the 2021 budget is based on.
Despite Gazprom’s caution on export-price estimates, the company still expects to report record earnings for this year and 2022 because of Europe’s gas crunch and the price rally that’s followed.
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