據(jù)世界石油2月8日消息稱，美國石油產(chǎn)量的增長將超過政府之前的預(yù)期，因?yàn)閺?qiáng)勁的油價(jià)上漲推動生產(chǎn)商增加鉆探。

根據(jù)能源信息署的數(shù)據(jù)，到2023 年，石油日均產(chǎn)量將達(dá)到 1260 萬桶，高于此前估計(jì)的 1241萬桶。目前1230萬桶/天的年度歷史最高紀(jì)錄是在2019年創(chuàng)下的。EIA在其月度《短期能源展望》報(bào)告中稱，今年的產(chǎn)量預(yù)測也從此前的每日1180萬桶上調(diào)至1197萬桶。

美國供應(yīng)的增加對美國政府來說是一個(gè)可喜的福音。政府已要求供應(yīng)商提高產(chǎn)量，以幫助壓低能源價(jià)格。能源價(jià)格正導(dǎo)致美國通脹率升至數(shù)十年來最高水平。隨著油價(jià)飆升至2014年以來的最高水平，美國兩家最大的石油公司宣布，他們將在美國產(chǎn)量最高的二疊紀(jì)盆地增加兩位數(shù)的產(chǎn)量。

隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)從大流行時(shí)期的放緩中復(fù)蘇，供應(yīng)與需求之間的缺口持續(xù)擴(kuò)大，價(jià)格上漲。報(bào)告稱，今年全球石油消費(fèi)量預(yù)計(jì)將達(dá)到每日1.006億桶，高于此前預(yù)估的每日1.0052億桶。預(yù)計(jì)到2023年，石油消費(fèi)量將增至每天1.025億桶。

預(yù)計(jì)今年全球石油供應(yīng)量將增至每天1.0139億桶。這比上個(gè)月預(yù)測的1.0105億要高。EIA預(yù)計(jì)，到2023年，全球石油日產(chǎn)量將進(jìn)一步上升至1.0347億桶。

朱佳妮 摘譯自 世界石油

原文如下：

U.S. sees record oil production next year moving even higher

U.S. oil production will grow even more than the government previously expected as a scorching price rally drives producers to boost drilling.

Oil output will average 12.6 million barrels a day in 2023, an increase from its previous estimate of 12.41 million, according to Energy Information Administration data. The current annual all-time high of 12.3 million barrels a day was set in 2019. This year’s production forecast was also revised higher to 11.97 million barrels a day from an earlier projection of 11.8 million, the EIA said in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report. 

This extra U.S. supply is a welcome boon for U.S, who has asked suppliers to raise production in order to help tamp down energy prices that are contributing to the highest inflation in decades. In the wake of oil prices surging to their highest since 2014, two of the largest U.S. oil companies announced they would increase production by double digits in the Permian Basin, America’s most prolific oil patch.

Prices have rallied with supplies consistently falling short of demand surging around the globe as economies recover from pandemic-era slowdowns. Global consumption is set to reach 100.6 million barrels a day this year, a higher revision from the last estimate of 100.52 million, according to the report. Consumption is expected to rise to 102.5 million barrels a day in 2023. 

Global petroleum supply are expected to rise to 101.39 million barrels a day this year. That’s an upward revision from last month’s forecast of 101.05 million. The EIA expects global production will rise further to 103.47 million barrels a day in 2023.

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