據(jù)道瓊斯7月6日消息，高盛分析師在一份報(bào)告中表示，原油價(jià)格的下跌似乎已經(jīng)過頭了。美國基準(zhǔn)西得克薩斯州中質(zhì)油（WTI）早些時(shí)候跌破100美元/桶。他們表示，自6月中旬以來原油價(jià)格和煉油利潤的下降，現(xiàn)在相當(dāng)于石油市場的價(jià)格反映2022年下半年至2023年全球GDP增長預(yù)期下調(diào)1.1%。高盛分析師表示：“我們認(rèn)為油價(jià)跌得過頭了，雖然未來經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)在增加，但我們之所以看漲原油，關(guān)鍵是目前的石油供應(yīng)缺口仍未解決。”
龐曉華 摘譯自 道瓊斯
原文如下：
Oil-Price Fall Appears Overdone, Goldman Sachs Says
The drop in crude prices, with U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate oil earlier falling below $100/bbl, appears overdone, analysts from Goldman Sachs say in a note. The decline in prices and refining margins since mid-June are now equivalent to the oil market pricing in an 1.1% downward revision to 2H 2022 to 2023 global GDP growth expectations, they say. "We believe this move has overshot--while risks of a future recession are growing, key to our bullish view is that the current oil deficit remains unresolved," the GS analysts say.
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