據(jù)能源網(wǎng)7月8日華盛頓報(bào)道，花旗集團(tuán)（Citigroup Inc.）全球大宗商品研究主管Ed Morse表示，由于燃料價(jià)格上漲，石油需求前景可能會(huì)進(jìn)一步下調(diào)。

Morse周三在接受彭博電視采訪時(shí)表示，幾乎所有人都降低了今年的需求預(yù)期。花旗集團(tuán)將其預(yù)測(cè)下調(diào)了約三分之一，至每天240萬(wàn)至250萬(wàn)桶，與美國(guó)能源情報(bào)署和國(guó)際能源署的預(yù)測(cè)類似。需求的增長(zhǎng)根本沒(méi)有達(dá)到人們預(yù)期的程度。

隨著全球需求回升，各國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)緩慢擺脫疫情影響，今年油價(jià)飆升。盡管原油價(jià)格徘徊在每桶100美元附近，但花旗重申油價(jià)基本預(yù)期為每桶85美元，并補(bǔ)充稱供應(yīng)“加速”進(jìn)入年底。

Morse表示，我們不認(rèn)為亞洲大國(guó)的需求會(huì)迅速增長(zhǎng)。并指出其今年一直在增加庫(kù)存。

郝芬 譯自 能源網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Citi’s Morse Says Oil Demand Will See Further Downward Revisions -Bloomberg

The outlook for oil demand likely will see further downward revisions amid higher fuel prices, said Ed Morse, global head of commodity research at Citigroup Inc.

“Almost everybody has reduced their expectations of demand for the year,” Morse said in a Bloomberg Television interview Wednesday. Citigroup reduced its forecast by about a third to 2.4 million-2.5 million barrels a day, similar to the US Energy Information Administration and the International Energy Agency. “Demand is simply not growing on an empirical basis to the degree that people had expected.”

Oil prices have soared this year as global demand returned with economies slowly emerging from the pandemic. While crude prices are hovering around $100 a barrel, Citigroup reiterated its base case for oil prices at $85 a barrel, adding that supply is “accelerating” into year-end.

“We don’t see the burgeoning demand coming out of the big country in Asia,” Morse said, noting that the nation has been building stockpiles this year.