據(jù)OE網(wǎng)站11月17日報道，根據(jù)挪威國家統(tǒng)計局(SSB)周四的一項調(diào)查顯示，隨著更多的開發(fā)計劃的制定，挪威油氣公司上調(diào)了2022年和2023年的投資預(yù)期。

SSB表示，該國最大的商業(yè)部門目前預(yù)計2022年將投資1753億挪威克朗（175億美元），高于8月份預(yù)測的1728億挪威克朗。并補(bǔ)充道，明年的投資預(yù)計為1497億克朗，高于此前的1353億克朗，但隨著企業(yè)計劃在今年年底前批準(zhǔn)更多項目，這一數(shù)字預(yù)計還會增加。

只有當(dāng)公司向當(dāng)局提交開發(fā)和運(yùn)營計劃（PDO）時，調(diào)查中才會包括新海上油田的支出。預(yù)計到今年年底，石油公司將批準(zhǔn)十幾個新項目，屆時挪威于2020年批準(zhǔn)的支持海上投資的臨時稅收優(yōu)惠政策將到期。

因此，SSB表示，2023年的預(yù)測可能會在2月份下一次更新數(shù)據(jù)時大幅增加。SSB在一份聲明中表示，在那次調(diào)查中，還公布了2024年的第一次估計。考慮到所有這些發(fā)展，有理由預(yù)計2024年會有相對較高的初始估計。

并補(bǔ)充稱，與前一次調(diào)查相比，2023年油田開發(fā)投資增加了12%，達(dá)到502億克朗，這主要是由于某些油田的成本估算較高。勘探方面的預(yù)期支出大致不變。

成本上升、供應(yīng)鏈瓶頸以及市場不確定性可能會使一些計劃中的項目擱置。上周，Equinor推遲了是否開發(fā)北極威斯丁油田的決定，該油田將成為世界上位置最北的生產(chǎn)油田。

(1美元= 10.0200挪威克朗)

郝芬 譯自 OE

原文如下：

Norway's Oil & Gas Firms Raise Investment Forecasts

Norway's oil and gas firms have raised their investment forecasts for 2022 and 2023 as more development plans are being made, a national statistics office (SSB) survey showed on Thursday. 

The country's biggest business sector now expects to invest 175.3 billion Norwegian crowns ($17.50 billion) in 2022, up from a forecast of 172.8 billion made in August, the SSB said. 

Next year's investments are seen at 149.7 billion crowns, up from a previous view of 135.3 billion, but the figure is expected to increase as companies plan to approve more projects by the end of this year, it added. 

Spending on new offshore fields is only included in the survey when companies submit plans for development and operation (PDO) to the authorities. Oil companies are expected to approve more than a dozen new projects by the end of this year, when Norway's temporary tax incentives, which were approved in 2020 to support offshore investments, expire. 

As a result, the estimate for 2023 will likely increase significantly when numbers are next updated in February, SSB said. "In that survey, the first estimate for 2024 is also published. With all these developments included already then, there is reason to expect a relatively high initial estimate for 2024," SSB said in a statement. 

The investments in field development for 2023 rose by 12% to 50.2 billion crowns compared to the previous survey, mainly due to higher cost estimates at some fields, it added. Expected spending on exploration was broadly unchanged. 

Rising costs and supply chain bottlenecks, as well as market uncertainty, could put some planned projects on hold. Last week, Equinor postponed a decision on whether to develop the Arctic Wisting oil discovery, which would have become the world's northernmost producing field. 

($1 = 10.0200 Norwegian crowns)