據經濟時報2月22日消息:印度政府的初步估計顯示,在4月1日開始的下一財年,印度燃料需求可能會增長5.5%,反映出這個亞洲第三大經濟體的工業活動和流動性在經歷數月的停滯后有所回升。
根據政府預測,印度2022年-2023年的燃料消耗(反映石油需求的指標)可能升至2.145億噸,高于截至2022年3月的當前財年修正后的2.033億噸。
這些估計是在聯邦石油部下屬的石油規劃和分析小組(PPAC)的網站上發布的。
數據顯示,當地對主要用于乘用車的汽油需求預計將增長7.8%,至3330萬噸,而柴油消費量預計將增長約4%,至7930萬噸。
航空燃料消費量可能會增加近50%,達到760萬噸,而截至2022年3月的年度修正估計為510萬噸。
PPAC說,石油焦的需求可能增長2.8%,至1,480萬噸,而用作烹飪燃料的液化石油氣需求預計將增長4.5%,至2,970萬噸。石油焦是一種燃燒效果更好的煤炭替代品。
馮娟 摘譯自 經濟時報
原文如下:
India expects fuel demand to grow 5.5% in next fiscal year
India's fuel demand is likely to grow 5.5% in the next fiscal year beginning April 1, initial government estimates show, reflecting a pick-up in industrial activity and mobility in Asia's third largest economy after months of stagnation.
India's fuel consumption in 2022-23, a proxy for oil demand, could rise to 214.5 million tonnes from the revised estimates of 203.3 million tonnes for the current fiscal year ending March 2022, according to governmentforecasts.
The estimates were released on the website of the Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC), a unit of the federal oil ministry.
Local demand for gasoline, used mainly in passenger vehicles, is expected to rise by 7.8% to 33.3 million tonnes, while gasoil consumption was slated grow by about 4% to 79.3 million tonnes, the data showed.
Consumption of aviation fuel would likely increase by nearly 50% to 7.6 million tonnes, compared with the revised estimate of 5.1 million tonnes for the year ending March 2022.
Demand for petcoke, a better-burning alternative to coal, could increase 2.8% to 14.8 million tonnes, while demand for liquefied petroleum gas, used as cooking fuel, is estimated to grow 4.5% to 29.7 million tonnes, PPAC said.
The table below shows the government's estimates for the fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 2023.
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