據(jù)海上工程師網(wǎng)2022年9月19日奧斯陸報(bào)道，挪威能源巨頭Equinor在日前發(fā)布的《能源展望2022》報(bào)告中表示，世界能源市場(chǎng)的長期發(fā)展以及政治、技術(shù)、企業(yè)和消費(fèi)者如何能夠影響這個(gè)發(fā)展是能源轉(zhuǎn)型的首要主題。

隨著通貨膨脹的肆虐，地緣政治的混亂和由此產(chǎn)生的能源安全問題，以及持續(xù)的物流問題，Equinor在其《能源展望2022》報(bào)告中發(fā)布了其對(duì)能源未來的深刻見解。

隨著價(jià)格的上漲和總體生活成本的顯著上升，能源供應(yīng)安全已成為能源政策議程的首要問題，使能源可負(fù)擔(dān)性牢牢占據(jù)議程。氣候挑戰(zhàn)仍將是推動(dòng)能源系統(tǒng)脫碳的長期動(dòng)力。盡管如此，短期至中期的重點(diǎn)也應(yīng)放在解決提高能源安全和可負(fù)擔(dān)性問題的備選辦法上。

Equinor總裁兼首席執(zhí)行官anders Opedal說，在這些考驗(yàn)時(shí)刻，我們必須專注于可持續(xù)能源未來所需的長期變革措施和結(jié)構(gòu)變革。實(shí)現(xiàn)《巴黎協(xié)定》的目標(biāo)是一個(gè)巨大的挑戰(zhàn)，需要政府、企業(yè)、投資者和消費(fèi)者的持續(xù)參與、合作和承諾。

《能源展望2022》是一份由Equinor分析師撰寫的獨(dú)立報(bào)告。

今年的報(bào)告對(duì)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)、國際能源市場(chǎng)和與能源有關(guān)的溫室氣體排放提出了兩種截然不同的設(shè)想。這些情景不是預(yù)測(cè)，而是可能的相反路徑，為辯論和決策提供平臺(tái)。 

“墻”和“橋”這兩種情景說明了截然不同的未來道路。他們的目標(biāo)是強(qiáng)調(diào)必須克服的巨大挑戰(zhàn)，從今天能源轉(zhuǎn)型的緩慢、漸進(jìn)的變化（Walls），到使世界走上與《巴黎協(xié)定》1.5°C目標(biāo)一致的道路所需的根本性變化（Bridges）。

Equinor首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家Eirik W?rness說：“隔墻有墻，橋相連。基于今天和未來的選擇，我們的新方案為長期的能源未來描繪出一個(gè)巨大的成果空間。”

李峻 編譯自 海上工程師網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Will the future be Walls or Bridges? Equinor releases "Energy Perpectives 2022"

Energy Perspectives 2022: Long-term development in the world’s energy markets and how politics, technologies, companies, and consumers can influence it, is an overarching theme of the energy transition.

With inflation raging, geopolitical disruption and resultant energy security concerts, and continued logistics woes, the table is set for Equinor to deliver its insights on energy courtesy of its "Energy Perspectives 2022" report.

Security of supply has come to the forefront of the energy policy agenda, with rising prices and significant increases in overall cost of living, keeping energy affordability firmly on the agenda. The climate challenge will remain as a long-term driver for decarbonization of our energy system. Nevertheless, short- to medium-term focus should also be expected on those options addressing increased energy security and affordability.

“In these testing times, we must stay focused on the longer-term transformative measures and structural changes needed for a sustainable energy future. Reaching the goals of the Paris Agreement is an immense challenge and will require continuous engagement, collaboration and commitment from governments, industries, investors, and consumers alike,” saidAnders Opedal, President and CEO of Equinor.

Energy Perspectives is an independent report prepared by Equinor analysts. 

This year, the report presents two distinct scenarios for the world economy, international energy markets and energy-related greenhouse gas emissions. The scenarios are not predictions but possible contrasting pathways, providing a platform for debate and decision making.

The two scenarios, Walls and Bridges, illustrate very different future pathways. They aim to highlight the immense challenges that must be overcome to make the move from the slow, incremental changes that characterise the energy transition today (Walls), to the radical changes needed to move the world onto a path aligned with the 1.5°C ambition of the Paris agreement (Bridges).

“Walls divide and bridges connect. Our new scenarios paint a large outcome space for what the long-term energy future might look like based on choices made today and going forward,” says W?rness.